Statistics and Data Science Seminar

Prof. Lijian Yang
MIchigan State University
Spline Single-Index Prediction Model
Abstract: For the past two decades, single-index model, a special case of projection pursuit regression, has proven to be an efficient way of coping with the high dimensional problem in nonparametric regression. Applications of single-index model lie in a variety of fields, such as discrete choice analysis in econometrics and dose-response models in biometrics, where high-dimensional regression models are often employed. We investigate the single-index prediction based on weakly dependent sample. The single-index is identified by the best approximation to the multivariate prediction function of the response variable, regardless of whether the prediction function is a genuine single-index function. A polynomial spline estimator is proposed for the single-index coefficients, and is shown to be strongly consistent and asymptotically normal. An iterative program based on Newton-Raphson algorithm is developed. The algorithm is sufficiently fast for the user to analyze large data of high dimension within seconds. Simulation experiments have provided strong evidence that corroborates with the asymptotic theory. Finally, we illustrate our estimation procedure by a gas furnace example.
Wednesday March 7, 2007 at 3:30 PM in SEO 712
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