Statistics and Data Science Seminar

Dr. Kooros Mahjoob
FDA
Dealing With Missing Values in Clinical Trials From Regulatory Perspectives
Abstract: In some randomized clinical trials, missing values arise due to patients' discontinuation before the end of the trial. As a result, there will be no value/measurement for those patients who dropped out for assessing efficacy at the end of the trial. Such a phenomenon is typical in neurological and psychiatric clinical trials; in fact, in some cases, there are over 40% dropouts. Clearly, analyzing trials data sets that have missing values and then drawing conclusions from the analysis results is a challenging task for FDA statisticians. Dealing with missing values in clinical trials has a long history, which goes back for over two decades. Lots of work, published papers and technical notes have suggested methods to deal with the issue and have talked about the utility of one method over the others. Nevertheless, the reality is that there is no clear-cut solution to the problem. Often, in some trials, missing values is a real problem from the regulatory perspective as to how to make a decision on the drug approval.
This presentation will focus on framing the problem, discussing common statistical methods used and the FDA's views on the methods. I will also discuss the result of simulations, bootstrapping using data of actual trials, conducted by FDA colleagues, in comparing the performances of different methods, and the outlines of some new methods.
Wednesday November 7, 2007 at 3:30 PM in SEO 712
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